That is probably true RC, but you didn’t account for the mid range stacks that get stupid and try to win something that doesn’t matter if you win. You will see 2 to 4 mid to large stacks cripple themselves as well as 4 to 5 of the remaining short stacks go out.
I understand where you are coming from, but I don’t like pinning my tourney life on an all in preflop, unless I know for a FACT that I have the other player dominated and he is drawing to a low number of outs. In the hand description we don’t know the play quality of the raiser or the play quality of the big blind. We don’t know the stack size of the BB, which is VERY important in this case. I understand that AA is a VERY good starting hand, but how many times have you seen AA cracked by a hand that flops 4 to the flush or 4 to the straight.
If you can’t except fold as an option, then in my opinion the best play is to call and act according to the flop. If you push post flop and he missed, you could pick up the pot right there. He could also call with a missed hand and you double up. If it’s a scary flop and you check and he hammers, let it go and live to fight on.